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Opinion

Shocking Facebook posts prove 20mph row is the most toxic issue since devolution began

By Mark Mansfield
Andrew RT Davies

Martin Shipton

Every right-thinking person should be deeply troubled that individuals posting to a Facebook group which claims to have more than 66,000 members have helped turn the debate over 20mph speed limits into the most toxic political issue Wales has experienced in the devolution era.

At the same time, the Conservative Party needs to consider whether it is happy that the toxicity has been fuelled by its own Senedd group leader, Andrew RT Davies.

The Facebook group contains posts that not only vilify First Minister Mark Drakeford in terms that can only be described as obscene, but include threats to harm him physically.

There are also multiple crude depictions on the Facebook site of him as Adolf Hitler - a tactic that ironically mimics methods used by the Nazis to dehumanise and demonise their enemies.

But Mr Drakeford is not the only target of such hatred. Deputy Transport Minister Lee Waters gets much the same treatment, while individual journalists who have expressed support for 20 mph limits have also come in for obscene abuse and threats.

These developments must be recognised collectively as a fundamental attack on our democracy. No one - politicians, journalists or anybody else - should be subjected to such intimidation.

Yet it’s happening and it’s important to understand why.

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Press release

One of the members of the Facebook group posted a Welsh Conservative press release which he says was sent to him by Andrew RT Davies in which reference was made to “blanket 20mph speed limits” - something that simply isn’t true, although that hasn’t stopped Mr Davies from repeating the claim on countless occasions.

Mr Davies has also been responsible for personally targeting Lee Waters over the 20mph issue, despite being fully aware that the deputy minister has previously been stalked and abused by far-right activists in his Llanelli constituency.

Of course politicians should be held to account for their actions and robust criticism of those who hold power is essential in any democratic society.

But those voicing the criticisms have a duty to ensure they do not spread misinformation that may - and in this case has - led to false allegations.

Much of the vitriol directed at Messrs Drakeford and Waters stems from an underlying narrative that they have acted like dictators in bringing forward the 20mph scheme.

This is demonstrably untrue. Another irony in this situation is that the first Senedd motion in favour of a standard 20mph speed limit in residential areas was tabled by a Welsh Conservative MS, David Melding, in September 2018. It received cross-party support.

A task force group was subsequently established to look further at the proposal and its final report, recommending the 20mph limit, was voted on in July 2020. Seven of the 11 Tory MSs voted for the motion, with only one voting against. Andrew RT Davies, who had stepped down as group leader, did not vote.

Right wing

Following the Senedd election in 2021, by which time Mr Davies had taken over as leader again, the group was more right wing and decided to change its stance and oppose the 20mph default limit.

But the Tories were outvoted by Labour and Plaid Cymru MSs - all of whom had been elected on manifesto commitments that backed 20mph - and 20mph was passed, with the provision that local authorities could make whatever exemptions they wanted. That’s the system which was introduced on September 17.

Whatever one’s view of the legislation, it’s therefore no more than straightforward Trumpian fake news to suggest that Mark Drakeford and Lee Waters have acted in a dictatorial fashion, let alone the wholly distasteful suggestion that their actions can in any way be compared to those of Hitler.

Yet the Welsh Conservatives and others have fostered the myth that the 20mph speed limit is a “blanket” ban on higher speeds and that the Welsh Government has acted undemocratically in introducing it.

The misinformation promoted by the likes of Andrew RT Davies has also fed into the petition against 20mph limits which at the time of writing is nudging towards 400,000 signatures. The petition is, in fact, very badly worded and contains contentious claims as well as factual inaccuracies.

It states: “The new 20mph law is coming into force on the 17th September and it will mark the end of having socialism in power in Wales.” It is now past September 17, and if Welsh Labour can be categorised as a socialist party, socialism is unarguably still in power.

The petition goes on to assert that a 20mph limit will be introduced “EVERWHERE” (sic). This, as we have seen, is incorrect because local authorities are able to make exceptions, and many have been made.

The author of the petition, himself a member of the egregious Facebook group disputes there is any evidence to support the view that reducing the speed limit to 20mph reduces accidents, citing Belfast as providing “the only true evidence”, which is that reducing the speed limit makes little or no difference.

In fact, the 20mph scheme in Belfast only applied to 76 streets in the city centre, 27 of which were fully or partly pedestrianised at the time of the study, and the average vehicle speed was less than 20mph anyway.

A better comparison would be with Spain, which in May 2021 reduced the urban default speed limit to 30 kilometres per hour (18.641mph). Deaths on urban roads declined by 10% in the first eight months of application, according to government data.

Carnage

The petition also states that one of the 20mph trials in Monmouthshire was “reverted” because of “absolute carnage” on the trial roads in the village. I doubt that, given that the dictionary definition of carnage is “the killing of a large number of people”.

On the issue of the petition generally, I share the view of Yes Cymru’s North Wales director Ethan Jones, who in an article for Byline Times Cymru expressed sorrow that the people of Wales had signed the anti-20mph petition in such numbers rather than more important issues like “soaring child poverty, a barely functioning NHS, free school meals for all children, adequate social care for the elderly and those with disabilities, public transport fit for the 21st century, rivers and seas filled with sewage, the democratic deficit this union inflicts on us, erosion of our democratic rights, or threats to our human rights”.

It’s no surprise that Andrew RT Davies sees the large numbers of people signing the petition as a triumph and a vindication of his stance on the issue.

This should prompt us to reflect on what he and his party are up to. The UK general election is getting closer and is most likely to be held in around a year’s time. The Conservatives are facing defeat and there’s little sign that Rishi Sunak is turning the tide for them.

They know that after the corruption of Johnson and the incompetence of Truss, the damage to the economy and the continuing cost-of-living crisis, it’s not possible to fight the election on conventional terms. Instead they are fighting it on culture war issues.

Culture war

In Wales the 20mph speed limit row is now a culture war topic that can be used by party campaigners in Wales, but also in England as a further stick with which to beat Labour.

Right-wing papers like the Daily Mail have previously cited NHS waiting times in Wales as examples of what England can expect if Labour returns to power. They’re already trying to use the 20mph row in the same way.

There will be other issues that the Conservatives home in on as well, like migrants arriving in small boats, but they’re vulnerable on immigration because they’ve been in charge of the policy area for more than 13 years.

They think they’re onto a winner with the 20mph row in Wales, even though many local authorities in England have already made such a change.

It’s important that in Wales we recognise what the likes of Andrew RT Davies are doing and why. Decent Conservatives - those that are left - shouldn’t tolerate the antics of a Poundland Trump for whom the truth, Welsh Government ministers and journalists he sees as troublesome are no more than collateral damage.

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44 comments

Fi yn unig

I look forward to seeing Andrew RT Davies on the stand charged with incitement to violence followed by his morally bankrupt cohorts who remain silent on the grounds of ‘I was just following orders Guv’. We’ve heard all that somewhere before haven’t we? The higher the signature figure goes on this petition, the more meaningless it gets.

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Dai Rob

Great article Ships! RT is despicable!!!

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Fi yn unig

I second that.

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Nobby Tart

I third it.

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Steve Thomas

Very good article Martin, we’ll done

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Jeff

This has been inflated for effect. This is what I expect from Mr Davies. This is what there are prepared to do at elections.

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Hogyn y Gogledd

Such a trustworthy man.

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Steffan Gwent

As I have already stated, like it or not - This is the poll tax moment for Plaid/Labour.

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CapM

If it really is as you say "the poll tax moment for Plaid/Labour." What if any repercussions will there be for Plaid and Labour? Also after the next Senedd election which party/parties do you think will form the Welsh government?

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GCJ

Excellent article. There needs to be better governance of social media when threats and intimidatory tactics are considered an acceptable method of expression. Recent accounts of damage to signs show how things can quickly escalate out of control. We can only hope that the police are taking appropriate measures to prevent this happening. Having recently travelled within towns across the border it seems that 20mph is accepted without question in many places without any apparent dissention. The Tory right wing press has a lot to answer for in stirring up anti Welsh Government propaganda!

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Philip Jones

“accident rates will increase slightly,”. No, no they won’t.

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JimJam

Have you read my full comment? I’m an accredited auto journo that’s researched this heavily. Yes, yes they generally do. On what basis can you state your ‘fact’?

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CapM

Reduced collisions, injuries and an increase in numbers of children walking to school for example have been shown to accompany the lowering limits to 20mph. The research was done in Bristol where lower limits were introduced a few years before Covid. "generally speaking, accident rates will increase slightly, for various reasons, " You've mentioned this before without elaborating . What is your source? As an "accredited automotive journalist that has researched the topic extensively" you'll no doubt have the source to hand. "same manure, different shovel." Better not to assume glibness is the answer but put some effort into determining how much manure is on each shovel.

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Y Cymro

The Welsh Tories have become a hate group who are using American Republican tactics of misinformation, disinformation and fake news to foster hostility as seen with Brexit that resulted in Labour MP Jo Cox being attacked and murdered by a far-right deranged Ukip supporter. See, it only takes one idiot to take things into his or her hands to confront and attack Welsh Government minister because Andrew RT Davies and other Welsh Tories have demonised those implementing policies which they oppose using Facebook, X (Twitter) or on other social media platforms to whip up those unstable into a frenzy. And as said recently. Both Andrew RT Davies and Gypsy hating David TC Davies are playing very dangerous games which could end tragically with their toxic Tory agenda. It's already happening with those damaging 20mph signs in Ceredigion and now physical threats are being made by Conservative supporters on social media towards Welsh Government ministers. No doubt this political pygmy will deny his part played like cowardly Donald Trump did with the attack on Capitol Hill riots. I find most right wingers always do. They use ignorance as their defence while omitting the part they played. He's below contempt, reckless, who should never be allowed to hold high office.

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Brian Williams

Dyma'r erthygl orau, yn fy nghof i, mae'r newyddiadurwr profiadol hwn wedi ei ysgrifennu. Ardderchog Mr Shipton

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Gareth

In a move that can only be seen as a deliberate act to stir up trouble, A R T Davies posted a photograph of Lee Waters , with the words " the man who imposed Labour's blanket speed limit" He then went on to claim it will cost the economy of Cymru £9billion. How low the leader of the Tory party in Cymru has sunk, and people claim we are a one party state, I wonder why, when this act shows the class, or lack of, of the opposition .

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Dai Ponty

The leader of the Tory party in Wales has incited violence with his false accusations inciting violence against people is a criminal offence so why has Davies not been arrested there are nut jobs out there look at what happend to the Labour M P who was murdered by a RIGHT WING NUT JOB

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Will Jones

I drove from Wrexham to Carmarthen last week and the 20mph makes hardly any difference to the time taken

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George Thomas

Though I'm not sure 20mph is the right move, Welsh Tories are cosying up to some of those who previously rejected any covid measures and it's all getting a bit ugly. It doesn't mean the result they're pushing for is wrong but the process to get there is doing a disservice to our growing democracy. That being said, it could be argued that way this was brought it has done the same.

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Gareth

So a party that puts a policy in its manifesto, gets elected on said manifesto, then gets the policy passed in the Senedd, with the support of the opposition. What part if this is doing a disservice to our democracy? Please can you explain. Remember at one point the Tory party fully backed this policy. ( 20 is plenty photo opportunity).

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Steffan Gwent

The poll tax was in the 1987 General Election Tory manifesto but it led to unforseen political trouble as it was an unpopular policy. Now Plaid/Labour are being punished on the doorstep as history is repeating itself.

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In reply to Steffan Gwent

Gareth

You have given an example of a unpopular policy. Can you explain why this was a disservice to democracy when it was what the people voted for, just like Brexit, it is part of how democracy works . What was anti democratic or did democracy a disservice in any of these.

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In reply to Gareth

Gareth

Each of the above followed the democratic process.

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In reply to Steffan Gwent

Padi Phillips

There was also huge opposition to the Poll Tax right from the get go, and the Tories lost 6 of their 14 seats in the election of that year. Subsequently in the 1992 General Election they were down to 6 MPs in Wales and in 1997 and 2001 there were no Tory MPs in Wales. Since 2005 Wales has unfortunately seen an increase in Tory representation at Westminster, but hopefully we'll see them reduced once again to the ideal number of zero. Hopefully this pattern will repeat itself in the May 2026 Senedd elections. Meanwhile, hopefully the Tory group in the Senedd will be censured and those found to have incited violence will face legal action. It's also high time that the Senedd brought in rules that make it unacceptable and actionable for MSs to lie.

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In reply to Padi Phillips

Richard

Padi These people represent 20 per cent of our population - neighbours, friends and family for sure. We need to respect their vote and views. It is just so sad that their reps in our legeslature ‘ represent ‘ them in such a way. Tory voters need to feel they have a stake in “ Cymru newydd “ and a voice.on all issues. ARTD and the likes of Janet ( U turn) Finch Saunders just devalue the trust their loyal 5th of our population have in the system.

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In reply to Richard

Annibendod

Quite right Richard. Much as I loathe the populists and far right agitators in the Tory party right now, I agree with the points you have made. Commentators here who choose to play down the public reaction to this policy do our Senedd a misservice. I fear this brings our hard fought for institution into disrepute. Doubling down on cloth earedness helps no one.

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In reply to Richard

Gareth

Richard, I hear what you are saying, but, a couple of years ago, Alun Cairns was forced to resign as Sec of state, due to his involvement in the collapse of a rape case. When asked by BBC Cymru would the local Tory voters stand by him, the answer was yes, as they vote for the Tory party not the candidate, and if he stood they would vote for him. It would seem they care not for the behaviour or views of the individual, as long as they have a Tory rosette. This makes it hard for opponents to have empathy for such people.

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In reply to Gareth

Richard

When my late wife told me “ i hear what you say “ i did in the back of my mind just wonder if she actualy did ? 😊

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In reply to Steffan Gwent

Huw Jones

Can you provide the evidence that Plaid/Labour are being punished on the doorstep. I suspect not!

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Llyn

The least surprising element the 20mph thing is the violent rhetoric and criminality (destroying road signs) by the far-right and the nod and a wink given to these violent extremists by a Conservative party in Wales led by a man downplayed the far-right Washington riots of 2021 which resulted in four deaths. Have a look at the Twitter responses to news that Senedd members have received death threats because of this issue - most seemed to indicate that support for a 20mph default speed limit in Wales was a death sentence!

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Richard

Ownership of ones words - however originally meant lies with the author in ALL cases. The damage from the BEXIT “ debate “ is only now begining to start to repair. Making or exagerating distorted claims may play well with the party faithful - to justify sudden personal U turns - but the effect on community cohesion and whipping up the populace helps no one. The 20 mph debate and personal responsibilty is an issue now for ARTD to think about and consider. How ever patrician and scoulding our First Minister is - in his academic led / top down approach …..he has been open, honest and clear in his direction on this issue - always doing the democratic thing via his Manifesto. We need to have a moment of reflection early in the new year with the three party leaders looking at REAL outcomes and implementation of this well meant but rushed one size fits all scheme. ARTD needs to calm his more zeleot minded new supporters and sign daubers….he does Wales and his party no favours by sloganising and mis representing the issues.

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Paul

1) The article states the result of an almost identical policy in Spain where injury rates reduced. So what causes your doubt about saving lives? 2) Department for transport states that for every 1mph slower vehicles travel the accident rate drops 6%. 3) 30mph is still a nanny state rule. That was introduced in 1934 to slow traffic in built up areas. If you want to get rid of the nanny state you need to get rid of all speed limits.

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Hogyn y Gogledd

No use quoting facts at a closed mind.

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Gareth

They Tory party will never scrap the change here, there are far too many Tory controlled councils in England that have Introduced it and are about to introduce this law. Scotland has said it will do the same by 2025. There are 28 million people in the UK live in areas where a local authority has set the speed limit at 20 mph. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://www.20splenty.org/20mph_places&ved=2ahUKEwj74Zy-qMOBAxUNTEEAHYxpA0cQFnoECDAQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0gbkyf5pc-rNdLI1D8C1u9

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Valerie Matthews

Forty years ago my son killed a child, who ran in front of him between parked cars. to buy from ice cream van. He was doing 25mph.he was found to be completely free of fault. He could not possibly have missed her or seen her until she was under his wheels. He has never got over this, At 20 mph she was likely to survive. Do you really want to go a bit faster and endanger a child's life? Would you REALLY vote for this shower who have done massive damage to UK so you can go a third faster?

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Padi Phillips

You're hardly a 'left leaning socialist' if you'll vote for an increasingly far-right Tory party. As for discounting the lives lost, how would you feel if it were one of your children or someone close to you were killed by a speeding motorist travelling at 30mph where they would have lived had the vehicle been travelling at 20mph? This article in today's Guardian more or less sums things up and could be seen as neatly complimentary to Martin Shipton's article above: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/sep/24/for-the-likes-of-jeremy-clarkson-this-lefty-penchent-for-safer-road-is-just-too-pedestrian

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Annibendod

ARTD is a political buffoon, a man whose ego far exceeds his political intellect. Sadly, he and his chums will tap into the frustration folk feel at the bungled manner in which this change has been implemented. WG can't ignore the fact that 400k people have signed a petition against the change. Compromise is needed. Look at restoring arterial routes to 30mph. I don't think most have any real argument with residential areas being 20mph but folk are getting very frustrated simply trying to get to work. I note some commentators saying how little difference it's made crossing Wales - well it wouldn't would it? Try driving from Dafen to Cydweli. Most are ignoring the change whilst some observe it. They are then having folk tailgating and blowing the horn. Add the confusion over old and new signs into the mix - the council are spraying over old 30mph signs whilst folk are spraying over the new 20's. W.Gov need to admit it's a mess and step up to fix this.

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Gareth

So strong is the public feeling against this change, that a rally in Cardiff against it, drew a couple of hundred or so people, against a petition of over 400 thousand, and included protests against ULEZ and the cashless society. What a joke the claim that this petition is the view of the people of Cymru.

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Silenced!

Sadly, the Tories are good at motivating the poorly educated with not much going on in their lives to hate others

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Erisian

The leader of the Conservatives & Unionists in Wales (I can't bring myself to call them Welsh) is an exceptionally empty vessel who makes an unholy amount of pointless noise. Out of ideas, policies and time...It's all he and nasty friends have left.

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Philip Davies

The Left frequently endures political opposition with ill grace: Scratch the surface of even a well-mannered Socialist and you'll often see a dogmatic and dictatorial communistic bigotry driving their ideals! For the governed it is like being back in school and suffering constant authoritarian intolerance of all dissent. Disagreement, to such people, is decried as the unacceptable misbehaviour and mischief of lesser minds, improperly catechized in the 'True Faith'. EU Membership was one such unquestionable assumption in the view of some. 'Twenty's Plenty' is another actually very questionable notion. That narrow and intolerant sense of absolute righteousness is priggishly offensive and only tends to emphasise political division and entrench extremist rhetoric on all sides. In this way, the Senedd's toxic ethos encourages rather than defuses social tensions in the country. The same, to be fair, is also true of that 'Dialogue of the Deaf' which is the UK Parliament of today. Meanwhile, ordinary people are under the cosh with burgeoning problems in every aspect of their daily lives and patience is in short supply. Tempers are frayed. Politicians who continually goad their already harried constituents, constantly hectoring them to mend their allegedly deplorable ways, only make us more bloody-minded. This is no way to govern. Authority must not be won just at election time, since people must be continually persuaded of good reasons to obey. Democratic Legislators do have the Power but wielding that Power in the form of unbending diktat - like FM Drakeford's imperious 'No!' when recently asked to think again on policy - is deeply unwise and counter-productive. Compromise is the supreme political art of the possible. Statecraft is taking people with you, not forcing them in directions they are naturally unwilling to travel. Leadership is listening to people's real issues at least as much as it is envisioning their future for them. In any case, will the shibboleth of 'Twenty's Plenty' be worth fighting and maybe politically dying for, when there are so many much more pressing matters crying out for remedy in Wales? And, for sure, constantly harping on Andrew R.T. Davies's perceived faults is becoming a monotonous distraction from Drakeford's shambolic running of Wales.

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Bethan

I don't use social media and I hear about these types of things second hand, so it's difficult for me to imagine the severity of instances like this. I miss out on being wound up by what sounds like truly vile online behaviour, but, I believe it's bad because it's very clear that something is driving everyone crazy. It's a mild 10mph change in speed limit in locations that already had slow speed limits. I'm starting to think politicians and media are deliberately causing this stir just as an elaborate joke at the public's expense to prove that they can cause a frenzied outrage about ANYTHING and picked the most humdrum policy to test their theory. That's my impression from online activity. However, out in the real world it seems to be a different story. People don't seem to care and I do genuinely wonder what other people's afk experiences are like these days. Is the mass hysteria real? Is society really losing the plot or does social media only represent a small sample of society that would be hyper-opinionated and socially antagonistic anyway? Social media is not a platform that allows for constructive, in-depth discussion. It's design really only fits spontaneous, demonstrative jabs to assert ones stance on a given situation that will soon be buried and replaced by other people's jabs. Yet social media is the obvious forum to go to if one is searching for an idea of what the rest of society is thinking or feeling. I'm just not sure it's providing an accurate representation.

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Andy Thompson

I'd never heard of Nation Cymru until a few minutes ago when I clicked a Facebook link. Tell me, are you affiliated with the Labour party? Certainly seems that way reading the 20mph article.

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Martyn Jones

I posted a response, which did not praise Welsh labour, removed within minutes, says it all.

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Replying to Steve Thomas Cancel

Very good article Martin, we’ll done

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