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Opinion

What Happened to Ending the Chaos?

By Mark Mansfield
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer . Photo Leon Neal/PA Wire

Ben Wildsmith

You have to wonder how some people land jobs, don’t you? As we battle through life, confronting incompetence at every turn, it becomes chillingly apparent how imperfectly the facility to pass interviews correlates with an ability, or even willingness, to do the actual work.

This is especially true of politicians, whose jobs entail an almost permanent interview process whereby they start campaigning for the next election the second they’ve assumed office.

Political campaigning has, over the last few decades, lost most of its substance. After a period when manifesto pledges were routinely abandoned, parties now make sure not to promise anything at all that can be quantified. In place of economic theories and social commitments, we are invited to vote for politicians on vibes alone.

So, after the party-hard, regret nothing hedonism of the Boris/Rishi years, we were offered Sir Keir Starmer as a cold shower in the police cells. His bespectacled, lawyerly gravity offered tough love to an electorate that has been conditioned to expect penance for the sins of their betters. The aristocracy has erred, so we must suffer…

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Dull

Labour’s governance, we were told, would be dull in a good way. It would be as sensible, solid, and dependable as underwear from Marks & Sparks. The party was over; it was time to roll up our sleeves and get on with the grinding toil of life on a struggling post-industrial island. It would be hard, but we would thank ourselves in the long run. We would learn to appreciate a satsuma at Christmas.

Being a looooooooooooooooooong way to the left of Starmer, myself, I expected to be frustrated by his government. The election campaign, and Starmer’s political journey to that point, suggested that we’d be in for a mild type of social democracy that was heavy on aspirations for social justice but cautious in delivering them. Above all though, the optics suggested that, however uninspiring, this government would be competent and predictable. It would steady the ship.

If that was the job interview spiel, let’s have a look at how they have actually behaved in office.

Whilst the manifesto was very vague about the specifics of a programme for government, Starmer ruled out a number of potential policies during the campaign. Promising not to raise a host of specific taxes, the government’s only route to avoiding further austerity is to stimulate growth in the economy.

It is curious that a politician who is defined in the public consciousness by his opposition to Brexit should rule out a return to the Single Market just as opinion polls suggest that the public supports it.

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Self-harm

Brexit was barely an issue during the election, which Labour was virtually guaranteed to win in any case. So, blocking a swift route to growth for fear of offending voters who likely opted for Reform UK seems like an act of self-harm.

The government’s only quantified pledge to the nation is to build 1.5 million new homes which it hopes will ease the housing crisis whilst stimulating the economy nationwide. The key to this, they claim, is loosening planning regulations so that building isn’t needlessly delayed or prevented by local authorities.

That is a laudable aim but likely unachievable owing to shortages in the workforce ranging from contractors to, crucially, planning officers. If spades do hit the ground in numbers, however, it will take time for economic benefits to filter through society.

In the meantime, the government is in need of cash, and its solution was to raise employers’ National Insurance contributions. Now, here I’d like to ask for some help from the Labour-supporting commentators who routinely accuse me of enabling the Tories by existing in a monastic fantasy world of socialist purism. Please explain how the government’s prime directive to stimulate growth is aided by putting up tax on employing people.

How are investors attracted by making labour more expensive?

Chastening

The market response to Rachel Reeves’ handling of the economy has been chastening. We are now borrowing money at higher rates than during the infamous Liz Truss crash.

This is emphatically not what was suggested at the job interview, is it?

A hastily arranged trip to China saw the Chancellor trying to whip up some business to offset this state of affairs. Here, the dysfunction of the government’s economic policies found company with its baffling approach to foreign affairs.

The trip yielded a supposed £700 million in financial commitments: the governmental equivalent of a couple of bottles of olive oil in Lidl. The trip took place two weeks before the inauguration of Donald Trump; the same Donald Trump who is obsessively hostile to China and threatening tariffs on any countries he feels are acting against American interests.

Yes, you might say, but Donald Trump is a bad man, and it is refreshing that we should be ignoring American pressure for once.

Well, OK, but whatever misgivings you might have about the incoming American administration, it isn’t forcing people into labour camps based on their ethnicity just yet, is it?

Our government’s willingness to do business with the Chinese sits uneasily with its rhetoric over Ukraine. Over China, we are encouraged to believe they are wholly pragmatic, whereas in Ukraine Starmer poses as a defender of liberty, willing to risk all in a noble cause.

The great pragmatist has sent £15bn to Ukraine so far with a further commitment of £3.5bn per year ad infinitum.

On the one hand, we are to believe we are so broke that we have to do business with an authoritarian, genocidal regime, whilst cutting fuel payments to pensioners. On the other, we can make open-ended commitments in support of a war which most observers agree has already been lost.

This week’s bizarre 100-year commitment to Ukraine is unprecedented in diplomatic history. It is perfectly possible that neither Ukraine, the UK, nor nation states in general will exist in 100 years’ time.

Aside from cementing our place at number one on Russia’s ‘to bomb’ list it is difficult to see what such absurd posturing is supposed to achieve for either Ukraine or the UK.

Detached as we are from the EU, antagonising Russia is a dangerous business at the best of times. It is rendered all the more perilous if the UK’s relationship with America deteriorates.

It is reported that the outgoing UK Ambassador has been invited to Trump’s inauguration, whilst the President elect mulls the virtues of refusing the appointment of her successor, Lord Mandelson.

Trump is naturally aware that 200 Labour Party operatives travelled to assist Kamala Harris’s campaign and if we accept Keir Starmer’s claim that they did so independently, the president will have noted that nobody acted to stop them.

The interview suggested a calm, reasoned candidate for the job at hand.

Having been forced to fire his Chief of Staff within weeks, Starmer’s government looks rudderless and worryingly out of its depth. This week, it partially capitulated to Elon Musk’s demands, we will shortly see how it responds to the inevitable punitive pressure applied to the UK by a president who feels slighted and smells weakness.

Far from ‘ending the chaos’, as its election slogan promised, this government is marching us towards isolation and penury.

 The new book From The Senedd to the Roofs by Ben Wildsmith is available here

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13 comments

John Ellis

'It is curious that a politician who is defined in the public consciousness by his opposition to Brexit should rule out a return to the Single Market just as opinion polls suggest that the public supports it.' I think it's indeed the case that by now a majority of the public might support it. But public opinion's fickle, and I reckon easily one third of at least the English electorate do still favour Brexit, if only on purely gut emotional grounds. And as long as that's perceived to be the case, no mainstream UK political party is going to venture to advocate a policy which would require acceptance of the principle of 'free movement'. Maybe a time will come when 20% or fewer of English voters will be viscerally aroused by a suggestion that anything committing to 'free movement' might be a positive policy proposal. But my sense is that we're not by any means at that point just now.

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Maesglas

Starmer is also a PM who is not only visionless but lacks conviction. Can anyone think of anything that he believes with conviction? Even his trip to Ukraine seemed surreal and could be meaningless. If Trump gets a deal, it is very likely that he will change his views towards the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Hitherto, Starmer followed the Biden line in not wanting to negotiate with Russia, but I suspect he may fall into line with whatever Trump says when he becomes President again.

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Shan Morgain

No mention of taxing wealth. We can afford to have good public services, plentiful decently paid employment, respctable welfare, social housing etc etc. We can't afford it AND pay a greedy tiny elite who drain off our money in the trillions. It's a simple choice. Them or us. It's not even that bad for them. Taxing them so they'd barely notice it would pay for all we want. Sigh.

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hdavies15

On the contrary I suspect that the seriously wealthy are bending the ears of the P.M and his team with a view to reducing their contribution to funding public services. Why are successive government regimes so compliant ?

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Tracy

This sounds unrealistic as the ‘ wealthy’ are taxed accordingly and it still is not enough. If we want to look after our own people and its economic welfare first thing any government should look at is reducing the foreign aid budget.

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Cyrano Jones

They're just not up to it. They went into politics expecting things to be like they were in the Blair years, when all you had to do was get a safe seat and obey the Leader, and you'd be on the gravy train for life. They're not equipped, temperamentally or intellectually, to cope with an age of instability and sharp ideological conflict. They have no firm beliefs of their own, except maybe about identity issues, so they end up believing whatever's fashionable (or whatever the last lobbyist told them). It isn't their fault they've been lumbered with leading a country that long ago decided to dismantle its productive economy in favour of an economy built on coffee shops, call centres and consultancy firms (Brexit was just a symptom of problems that have been festering for decades). If they weren't so entitled, you could feel sorry for them. But since they will not suffer for their inadequacy – at worst, they will end up back in the world of lobbying, from whence so many of them came – sympathy seems superfluous.

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Nia James

Starmer heads a Blue Labour administration that is now pretty upfront in its disdain for pensioners, farmers and what we have left of our industrial workforce. I am old enough to remember back to Harold Wilson's transformative 'White Heat of Technology' that helped shape our thought and actions in the 60's and 70's, and even penetrated into the Thatcherite 80's. Starmer's limp attempts to reinvigorate the UK economy with his "AI revolution" - in which we are at least a decade behind our competitors - the nebulous Great British Energy, and this chimerical promise of "thousands of green jobs", as long as you country folk accept a skyline of pylons to add to Welsh Government's desire to manufacture forests on agricultural land, are undoubtedly going to see us come up short when we look at economic growth and job security in the years ahead. But at least we now have a radical futurist in the UK Government in the shape of the oleaginous Swansea West MP Torsten Bell, who is now the Pensions Minister. Lock up your savings, or better still get them offshore as quickly as possible, before upcoming Labour Leader Bell sequestrates them.

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John

I'm sure I'm going to be hammered for this. But personally I think Labour have been given a really tough set of circumstances to govern in, probably the most challenging since WW2. Chiefly, the current government deficit is 130 billion per annum, and the tories clearly put a lot of tough decisions off until after the election. Labour had to raise one of the big three taxes – NI, VAT or income. All of these would have impacted businesses one way or another. Stagnation begun under the tories, and is not moving off anytime soon. Everyone is discontent with politicians (remainers, brexiteers, independencers, people in the middle); But just looking at this article, and as an example, the author states that Rachel Reeves is ‘mishandling the economy’ when uk gilts have actually outperformed all G7 bonds over the past few months except the US shows how poor the messaging is from government, or how hostile the UK press is. In my view, one of labours biggest challenges is the inexperience of their MPs and ministers. But this is a consequence of being out of government for so long, but also the impact of Corbyn. It’s not all doom and gloom, the Wales and the UK has a lot of strengths which many other nations would die for, but voters need to also be realistic about what can be achieved

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Ben Wildsmith

Your central point is based on misquoting the article.

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Llew Gruffudd.

Hammered, surely not. Your defence of Labour however is rather dubious, nor, as has been said, is it in line with the article. I, among many others, had no great expectations of an incoming Labour government under Starmer. I never dreamed however it would go so badly, so quickly. When a Labour government sees the first step for the economic way forward as taking money from pensioners, then no hope. And for what?. The economic ' black hole 'was to be filled by a so called savings of initially £1.2 billion, reduced by getting as many pensioners as possible to claim Pension Credit, so not only reducing the amount saved, but increasing Pension Credit welfare payment. Not only insensitive, but economically illiterate. You refer to the problem that Labour inherited. That's the nature of national government. Remember the note from the last outgoing Labour government. All the money's gone .The trick is how to deal with it. The theme of the article seems to be that Labour are handling it in a very different, and inferior, way than promised. Your point about gilts too. It's not whether the UK bonds are, by your perception out performing others, but the reality that as a consequence of Rachel Reeve's budget, UK borrowing costs are higher than before. As for stagnation and how to deal with it. Many would argue that stagnation and austerity was as a consequence of the financial propping up of the banking sector by Gorden Brown and made significantly, worse by the policies of subsequent governments, including the present one. You cannot get an economy to grow by taking money, spending, off the very people that make it grow. The consumer.

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Felicity

The British working class have a happy knack of voting against their own best interests. Deference to monarchy, wealth and celebrity seems to be ingrained. We can't only blame Labour for hesitating over a return to a customs union or Single Market.

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Tracy

It always amuses me to read that ‘ majority’ of people would reverse brexit! Whichever poll produces this ‘fact’ clearly does not approach the brexiteers!

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Marisol Jones

Honestly Labour are a disappointing disaster. They have betrayed so many of their core supporters to simply take on the identity of watered down Tories. With Wes Streeting taking on the role of social engineering through feeding the unemployed, off-book purely tested experimental slimming drugs actually designed for diabetics, Starmer “centre pathing” for all he’s worth between actual decent people and nationalist xenophobes / Mumsnet extremists / JK Rowling. To me, Starmer under Labour is about as successful as conservatives under Truss.

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They're just not up to it. They went into politics expecting things to be like they were in the Blair years, when all you had to do was get a safe seat and obey the Leader, and you'd be on the gravy train for life. They're not equipped, tem...

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