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Opinion

Wales needs the economic powers to chart a middle course between ideological extremes

By NationCymru

Joe Chucas

Wales currently stands at a crossroads between two economic ideologies, both of which will harm its economy.

One the one hand is Labour’s increasingly hard-left socialism and on the other, the crony-capitalism on the Tory party.

Neither is the answer to Wales’ economic problems, and if the economy is to improve Wales requires the economic levers to chart its own middle path.

First I’ll explain why these two choices would be damaging for Wales before explaining why a different path is needed.

Socialism

The track record of socialist countries (such as the USSR, Mao-era China, Ceausescu-era Romania and North Korea) to create prosperity has been pitiful.

A ‘command’ or centrally planned economy will never function as usefully as one where the individual has the fundamental right to make her own decisions, insofar as she does not harm anyone else.

The capitalist incentive of doing what is best for yourself and your family is undoubtedly the main driver of the innovation that brings new products, the competition that lowers price for consumers and the mass production that improves standards of living.

Socialism in the narrowest sense is as much of a danger to society as extreme laissez-faire governance.

In the (possibly misattributed) words of David Lloyd George; ‘a boy who is not a socialist doesn’t have a heart, a man who is a socialist doesn’t have a head.’

Crony capitalism

However, ultra-capitalism doesn’t work either. While individual self-interest is the engine that drives the economy, it also needs tempering and direction.

Economic growth is pointless if it doesn’t benefit the majority. In the US, GDP has doubled over the course of 30 years yet median household income has only increased by 16%.

Economic freedom is also worthless if you are faced with crimes from impoverished people, the whims of diseases hidden in your genes, poor job opportunities or dangerous air quality.

Allowing governance to be guided only by vested commercial interests creates countries that don’t work for its citizens. The UK’s woeful rail network and the US’ ineffective healthcare are good examples.

Crony capitalism is epitomized in the UK by more than £400 per person going towards fossil fuel sector subsidies, while disabled citizens see their benefits cut and the poorest families choose between heating and eating.

Sustainable Wales

A socialist economy is dysfunctional while an ultra-capitalist one is heartless. For Wales, the trick is not to pick between two extremes but to get the balance right.

Unfortunately, it stands at the periphery of a centralized UK economy and does not even have the economic levers to change course.

To change that, Wales must demand a Parliament with legislative and tax-varying powers.

This would allow Wales to create a positive environment for innovation and business operations.

Wales must attract scale-up businesses that can grow quickly to provide for more of its citizens with research and development tax credit.

This will create jobs and reverse the outflow of capital and labour, thereby producing technological spillovers and a feedback loop of employment prospects and capital accumulation.

State ownership works in some cases; where natural monopolies occur (such as rail), where more investment in human capital is needed (such as education) and where a safety net can encourage consumer spending and investment with greater confidence (such as healthcare).

Commercial expertise will always be valued for each, but the provision of effective public services is crucial for a well-functioning economy.

Our government should provide the level of spending required to adequately provide for citizens and ensure that those with the broadest shoulders bear the highest tax burden, and provide the renewable energy initiatives and right type of stimulative fiscal policy.

People-led (rather than ideological) governance driven by sound logic, evidence and empirical analysis will serve Wales far more effectively than blind adherence to market forces or state ownership.

It is the only way for Wales to truly prosper in the modern global economy.

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28 comments

Dafydd Thomas

Scotland and the North of Ireland have economic measures which give competence to their governments, measures which we do not have such as Airport Duty and Corporation tax. Why? The new economic plan by the Welsh Government has no targets, giving them a plan that can't fail. We need economic levers here in Wales so that we can have a competent government, and a government that does not pretend that it has a Plan when it cannot be shown to be successful with say an improvement in GVA. We desperately need additional economic competences in Wales, it's high time to end the incompetence.

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Tudor Rees

Why? I think too many of our Welsh politicians have been seduced to become part of the South East Ehgland orientated establishment. e.g. George Thomas [read Martin Shipton book] and in an earlier era David Lloyd George and countless others. In modern-day parlance, as far as Wales is concerned, "They lost the plot!"

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Gwilym ab Ioan

An excellent analysis based on acute, sensible observations Joe Chucas. These are the very primary concerns that we have singled out for our new party to focus on. It is the reason why we call ourselves a 'syncretic' party. We don't adhere or subscribe to the old fashioned and defunct 'right - centre - left' paradigm. We certainly don't subscribe to the dogmas and doctrines of either end of the spectrum. Our whole attention is on the welfare, and prosperity of Cymru as a sovereign nation and NOTHING else, apart from the preservation of our identity projected through our unique culture, history and ancient language. The starting point is the economy. No clever sound-bites, no political correctness, no fashionable 'group think' and certainly no cosying up to the establishment. You say: "A socialist economy is dysfunctional while an ultra-capitalist one is heartless. For Wales, the trick is not to pick between two extremes but to get the balance right." We couldn't have put it better ourselves. We need to think laterally and introduce new ideas and concepts to aid us to put Cymru back on it's feet. That begins with the battle for independence. Without independence we will forever be wedded to the maniacal political powers of the UK, which is a disaster for us in Cymru - as it lurches from one end of the scale to the other between Socialists and Capitalists. Neither must the economies of London and the 'Mini Me' economy of Cardiff be used as the barometer for economic growth and well being in the rest of our country. Our people, their welfare and prosperity MUST be at the top of the agenda, and with our new party they are. You're welcome to find out more by clicking on my username in red above.

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Susannah Avonside

And how is Alternatif i Gymru doing Gwylim bach?

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Gwilym ab Ioan

Ardderchog Susannah. Far better than anticipated in the short time we've been forming - out of the public gaze. I predict there will be many bulging eyeballs when we unveil what we've created - in the near future. We're determined to get it right from the start, with no slip-ups, as has happened to most new parties in the past, who made the rudimentary mistake of trying to run before they could crawl, with lots of trumpeted hype and no substance. When we launch we will be fully prepared and not half-cocked. It will be with a full raft of policies, a rock solid constitution, a full National Governing Body made up of professionals and experienced politicians and a mandate from a bulging membership that's growing daily. My personal biggest surprise is the number of current high ranking politicians from other parties (from councillors to AMs) that are showing a genuine interest in what we are doing. We're also attracting a following of genuine professionals in the fields of economics, medicine, and technology. "Softly softly catchee monkey" no cats will be let out of the bag to please the media's curiosity until WE are ready - it's time for the dog to start wagging the tail, and not the tail wag the dog.. Hence the reason we are keeping a low profile at this critical stage, and our cards close to our chest until we are ready to show our hand. Professionalism and Integrity are our key words. When we come into full view it will be something totally new, different and unrecognisable when compared to ALL the 'old brigade' parties that have been playing at self serving politics over the decades in Cardiff Bay.

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In reply to Gwilym ab Ioan

Our country in our hands

Good luck Gwilym, putting the people of Wales first and seeking full, unfettered independence through a party untainted by Westminster is definitely needed.

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In reply to Gwilym ab Ioan

Susannah Avonside

Glad to know that things are shaping up well. Despite my somewhat tongue in cheek comment, I am genuinely intrigued by this new party. I have to admit, as my comment may have indicated, that I was finding the deafening silence over the new party somewhat disconcerting - it's one thing doing what you appear to be doing and wisely 'keeping your powder dry' and operating under complete obscurity. Despite my scepticism, I do realise that we badly need something new here in Cymru, as what passes for a national movement is sadly lacking, as we all know to our consternation, though of late even Plaid Cymru seems to have picked up it's skirts somewhat and even gone on the offensive, however timidly. Perhaps this is already an effect of the proposed new party, and if so, one can only hope that once it's up and running that it will act as a catalyst to invigorate the whole of the national movement that has been somewhat comatose since the arrival of devolution.

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Eos Pengwern

There's a great deal of wisdom and sound sense in these words. Socialism (or even the misguided aspiration towards it) has done Wales's economy and culture terrible damage over the past 150 years, and it is self-evident from comparing living standards in Wales to those elsewhere in the UK that the current iteration of Conservatism is not serving us well either. I would however want to take issue with a few of the ideological assumptions which the author seems to betray. One is the idea that what's needed is somehow a middle way, or a balance, between socialism and capitalism. I'd go so far as to say that socialism has been demonstrated to be utterly worthless and counter-productive in achieving its declared aim, having made matters much worse everywhere that it's been tried. It has nothing to teach us, except what not to do. I suppose I'd call the desired prescription 'Classical Liberalism', which differs from Capitalism per se mainly in the extent to which the latter is associated with entrenched vested interests. I'd certainly want to qualify the statement that "those with the broadest shoulders [should] bear the highest tax burden", since this is often interpreted to man that people with higher incomes should pay higher tax rates. This is quite wrong, since it targets the highest tax burdens at the people most able to avoid them, and will often drive the most productive and creative people away into other jurisdictions. Far better to have a simple, flat tax, with none of the complexities that always (and inevitably) introduce loopholes. It should be obvious that with a flat tax it is still the richest who pay the most, but the system is simple and fair and there is far less incentive to try gaming it. Personally as a climate change sceptic I'd also argue with the bit about renewable energy, but that's a small matter for now. Renewable energy is doubtlessly a Good Thing of itself, but I'm not persuaded that subsidising it is a good use of public money. I have nevertheless invested in Riversimple, the hydrogen-powered car company based in Llandrindod Wells, because I think what they're doing is interesting and exciting in its own right.

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Alfyn

You must be reading some extremely conservative newspapers if you believe that Corbyn is about to introduce Soviet style communism. As far as I can see he is no more than a fairly normal social democrat advocating the same sort of mixed economy you favour. Given how extremely conservative the UK is and how entrenched the interests of the rich are it remains to be seen whether he will be allowed to actually implement any of his policies or even if he will be able to take power at all.

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Rhydian

Good article and fully agree. Many in Plaid need to recognise that socialist policies would be toxic to a newly independent Wales, or Wales in general. Independence would mean a slimming down of the state and fiscal incentives to attract FDI, at least in the short to medium term. I can undestand using socialist rhetoric as a populist tool to win votes, but it needs to stay well clear of the policies themselves.

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Liberals Cymru

Joe Chucas, this attitude is exactly what we need. Liberals Cymru is about disconnect for a while, and meditate upon what Humanistic Liberalism means. But if you contact us, we will get back to you by early March. @libcymru - Twitter [email protected]

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Gwilym ab Ioan

Do you honestly believe that the Liberals - of all people - are the 'new kids on the block' with anything new to offer in 2018? Any new ideas and a modus operadi that is different from a party formed in the 1850s from the Whigs and free-trade Peelites? I don't think so. Time to 'Rhoi'r ffidl yn y tô' ffrind. What was it that Einstein said? “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results”.

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ERNEST

I think what LibCymru stands for is a Charles Kennedy style of social liberalism, where there is public ownership through individual share ownership rather than state ownership. This is a good article Joe Chusas.

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In reply to ERNEST

Gwilym ab Ioan

Same horse - different jockey . . .

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Graham John Hathaway

Useful if standard. Here is the slavish belief in either politics or no politics please. Is politics defined as a 'way of life' or the 'practice of different ideologies' that can never be measured. Or just different means of getting to the same place. In truth it's simple. Those who believe in business, and those in workers rights. We overly complicate. Of course nothing works in the long run. One lever pulled, one lever jams, another leaver pulled, another lever jams. It's cyclical. The powerful of either main parties seek to entrench their own ideologies, as protectionists of the status quo. I believe only in Wales and protecting its own values and interests. These are never fully inderstood or considered by outdated politics of the Union.

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Trailorboy

I cannot think of China as anything other than a command economy dressed up with a gloss if capitalistic pretence. I don't view their economy as a failure - even if its not what I would wish for in Wales.

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sibrydionmawr

Naive claptrap. Capitalism of any form is corrosive, and completely at odds with the interests of workers anywhere. It wouldn't be so bad if your argument wasn't based on a complete fallacy to begin with. your claim: "The track record of socialist countries (such as the USSR, Mao-era China, Ceausescu-era Romania and North Korea) to create prosperity has been pitiful." is nothing but complete balderdash. The idea that the economic system in any of those countries you mention was in any way 'socialist' is risible. The economic systems running in those countries had more in common with monopolistic crony capitalism that anything socialist, as that is exactly what it was, state controlled monopoly capitalism. Only a system where workers control the economy is desirable, as it's only the workers who create wealth. In this there is a Welsh dimension, 'The Miners' Next Step' which outlined the way the coal industry should have been run, and those ideas extend well to other areas of the economy. Please don't conflate the old countries where Bolshevik style dictatorships became conflated with communisim, they were nothing of the sort, and their only utility is as a bogus counterpoint for the politically illiterate in articles such as this. Whilst it's true that those countries were founded on the ideals of socialism, their reality was something far different, and not socialist at all.

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Eos Pengwern

Yet whenever and wherever socialism is tried out, it always seems to end in the same way... I actually agree with you that "only a system where workers control the economy is desirable, as it’s only the workers who create wealth" - the problem with socialism is that it always ends up conflating "the workers" with "the State", and that's where things go awry. When "the workers" really means "the workers" - individuals who own the equity in the enterprises that they work for and trade with - then you have something much more akin to Classical Liberalism, or even dare I say it Thatcherism: and it works rather well. It's the reason why Tower Colliery succeeded where the NCB had failed, and why John Lewis seems to surge from strength to strength. It's also the reason why I, having been a solid Thatcherite throughout the 1980s, found a comfortable home in Plaid Cymru during the 1990s because I recognised that what Plaid called 'community socialism' wasn't actually socialism at all. It's only since Plaid has abandoned 'community socialism' in favour of actual socialism that I've come to realise they are a party not only to refrain from supporting, but actually to oppose. It would be a disaster for Wales if any of their policies were put into practice - the more so, since "any of their policies" no longer seems to include Independence.

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sibrydionmawr

The kind of socialism that Plaid Cymru is currently following isn't exactly the kind of socialism I would advocate, it's too akin to what has passed, and failed in the past, but mostly it suffers from the shortcomings that you pointed out - it is far too statist. I don't describe myself as a socialist, but as an individualist anarchist with strong collective leanings. For many, community socialism is the only real kind of socialism, and really is the only possible form of democratic, libertarian socialism possible. Indeed, it's not too far removed from anarchism, another widely misunderstood and feared, (mainly by statists and those with power as it derives it's only power from true democracy, which, when it comes down to it, many don't really want, especially the mainstream political parties - democracy would effectively remove their power!) It's interesting indeed that you were a solid Thatcherite all through the 80s and then embraced community socialism, as they could hardly be more diametrically opposed ideologies: community socialism stressing society and Thatcherism doing it's level best to destroy notions of society. The NCB, along with many other state owned organisations failed because they were fundamentally capitalist enterprises that reflected the old, anti-democratic and class riven social structures where management ignored/despised the shop floor and vice versa. Had the 'Miners' Next Step' informed the running of the NCB and other nationalised industry I think we'd have seen a very different story. The John Lewis Partnership and Tower, along with Mondragon in Spain provide interesting comparisons, and certainly within the constraints of capitalism do provide means of amelorating some of the worst excesses, but all those examples suffer from some lesser known downsides - try asking the people who do the cleaning in John Lewis Partnership shops what they think of the company, as they were treated appallingly badly. The existence of the state is one of the biggest stumbling blocks we face when thinking about a truly free and democratic society. it is a self-perpetuating monster that continually seeks to undermine real democracy. I think that some of this fear presented itself in the EU Referendum, but the irony was missed by everyone: fearing the EU superstate may have been wise, but is the British State, or any other state less of a threat to us all? And where the state is concerned, there can never be any real socialism, as ultimately the state only seems to be able to operate a form of monopoly capitalism which in it's own way is every bit as corrosive as the current crony capitalism that is engulfing us. And even that virulent form of capitalism is dependent on the state for it's very existence.

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In reply to sibrydionmawr

Eos Pengwern

Sibrydionmawr, I know we lock horns here from time to time but it looks like we agree on more than you'd expect. I wouldn't go so far as to call myself an anarchist, but I believe that government should be small - 'small but strong' as Simon G F eloquently puts it below. It's not the government's job to try to redistribute wealth or tell people how they should live and think: its role is to provide defence against attack from other countries, enforce the rule of Law (though with as few Laws as possible: personally I think 10 should be enough for anybody), provide basic infrastructure and a stable economic environment (with a credible and dependable currency), and that's pretty much it. Taxes should be flat, and there should be a citizens' income; the system should be so simple that no-one can game it or abuse it. And government should really be small, not just made to look smaller than it is by having a bloated third sector where government toadies live high on the hog with no accountability. Where we do disagree is on Thatcherism: I won't claim that it was perfect, but it did more than any recent movement ever has to take power away from vested interests and place it in the hands of ordinary people - whether by breaking up the state monopolies such as BT and BP and selling shares in them, allowing people to buy their own council houses, or simply cutting taxes and letting people keep more of their hard-earned money rather than pumping it to no avail into failing state enterprises such as the NCB, British Leyland et al. who were beyond reform. To me this was community socialism, as I understood it, and communities were stronger as a result. I guess that within Wales, the reputation of Mrs. Thatcher can't be detached from the effects of the miners' strike, but frankly I find it hard to be sympathetic with those who threw their lot in with a movement that amounted to an attempt to overthrow an elected government by organised violence. Scargill's name deserves to be a lot blacker than Thatcher's in this regard. For what it's worth, I myself am from a mining family: my uncle was a miner at Point of Air colliery in Prestatyn at the time, and just did casual building work throughout the strike with little visible hardship.

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Simon G F

Labels such as Socialism and Capitalism confuse people more than clarify. Take Socialism for example. Late 19th century socialism is more akin to Free-market Capitalism in its pure form. The aim was to remove the wealth-extracting middlemen, mainly large landowners, from the equation allowing prosperty to flow to the people as autonomus agents and producers. Late 20th early 21st century Socialism is an entirely different beast. It promotes bloated intrusive governments both controlling the economy and social engineering to suit its ideological flavour. The modern definition of Socialism stands in stark contradistinction to its origins. The same can be said for Free-market Capitalism. The ideals espoused by the Scotsman Adam Smith have been twisted out of context to support a Financial Sector guided Neo-liberalism which is anything but free or just. Simply put, Neo-liberalism replaces the 19th century wealth extracting Land Barons with an even more rapacious middleman known as Banking and Financial Sector. Pitting Capitalism against Socialism merely keeps people having their ideological spats while the real thieves and bullies remain out of sight. We need a small but strong government that keeps the people free from excessive power, corruption and exploitation. Only then can we prosper as free agents. We need a government to provide basic infrustructure like transport, education, power, communications and finance at significantly reduced cost to the consumer - as did early 20th century USA - allowing a level playing field for real wealth creation (as oppsed to the Britsh ideal model of rentier wealth extraction). It was on this basis that the USA became a economic giant. Forget 'Socialism' and 'Capitalism'. These words do more to obscure than elucidate. Lets start talking about real problems and practical solutions.

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Gwilym ab Ioan

Thank you both for your kind words, it's much appreciated. I guessed your comment was slightly 'tongue in cheek' Susannah - you little tease you! It's shaping up nicely. Yesterday we had quite a famous councillor from the Pontypridd area registering as an interested person and pledging his support - despite currently representing another party (who shall remain nameless), followed today by yet another councillor who currently represents a different ward and a different party but in the same area. Also today we had an ex-pat living in Finland who pledged support and promised donations. It's quite 'heady' really, and we've kept totally below the radar, but they still come knocking! As for Plaid's little flurry over recent times, who knows? I'd like to think they're getting 'squeaky bums'. Perhaps I'm wrong, but it is a bit of a coincidence. I do know that many who have pledged support for us are from their ranks, and not just ordinary members. However Plaid and the other 'old brigade' parties are of no real interest to us. We have a job to do, and do it we will. We ARE keeping our powder dry until the big day, meanwhile the back door is certainly busy. People are just fed up and can't take anymore from timid and establishment friendly parties who have failed them. They've had their opportunity and failed our country and our people, leaving us in abject poverty and on the verge of losing our identity - that can't continue - we won't let it continue. It's a new dawn, and a totally different way of doing things. Old establishment parties are dead men walking, because the people are waking up all over Europe and further afield, having realised they've been abused and exploited. Time to end it.

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Gwilym ab Ioan

This blog site is desperately in need of having the 'edit' function activated on it. I've just commented in the wrong place - it should have been a reply to 'Our country in our hands' & 'Susannah Avonside's comments and appeared below them. DOH! Now I can't do anything about it. Don't you just hate it when that happens?

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Susannah Avonside

Yes indeed people are awakening all over the world, but I hope that the new movement in Cymru will remain untainted by the rather sinister qualities such as that which is affecting political parties in Germany, Poland and Hungary, as well as Slovakia. We have the excellent example of Cymuned upon which to deal with the kinds of migration we experience here in Cymru, and I was greatly encouraged when I discovered that there was nothing in that movement that based itself on the denigration of any part of humanity. And yes, the lack of an edit function is a constant frustration, and should, on sites such as this, be regarded as an essential feature, even if only to allow self-censorship when one realises one has written something in the heat of the moment that does not reflect anything other than an angry, quite possibly defamatory and potentially libelous outburst. I'm sure IMJ's blood pressure would be the better for that!

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Sarah McIver

As long as the system remains the same, it doesn't matter which side you choose. What's needed is an entirely new system. Look into this, seriously: www.freeworldcharter.org (signing this takes you to a landing page where you'll get a free ebook called Into The Open Economy, an eye-opener talking about a much better system, which is actually happening to a certain extent in the form of Freeworlder.com) :)

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Davydh Trethewey (@MawKernewek)

I seem to remember that the Liberal Democrats' disastrous 2015 election campaign boiled down to splitting the difference between the other two parties. This party political broadcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20oZiM4kBw8 reveals they had no ideas of their own. What's needed is original thinking beyond just finding a midpoint between supposed extremes of right and left.

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Gwilym ab Ioan

You are absolutely right Davydh Trethewey. It's been the game since the 19th century up to our present day - just more of the same. Regardless of what they call themselves or where they say they stand on the political spectrum. THAT'S why we've been crying out for a syncretic party that doesn't follow ANY of those old patterns of politics. A party that thinks outside of the box with totally new ideas copied from no one. Fashioned purely for the needs of Cymru. A lateral thinking party who's ONLY goal is the welfare and freedom of our country and it's people. The good news is that it's on it's way - at last. We are done with languishing in abstract misery as a defeated and colonised country. We are done with playing the game by the establishment rules. This time we play by OUR rules and let OUR people decide. No clever sound bites, no political correctness, no kow-towing to the the established order, no fear of criticism. This time we do it OUR way with no holds barred.

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Graham John Hathaway

The idea of a Wales that rids itself from the tidal throes of a fixed 2 party dominance where only the old plastic flotsam becomes the identifying tidal mark, the better. The depth of concern about a federal Europe, aloof, unelected, omnipotent, has caused Brexit. There are lessons that even now are not recognised. Populism is rampant across Europe. The strictures placed on the Brexit negotiations in Brussels gives testament to the grip of control, and fear of a proliferation of small states waiting to be born. The question, is Wales prepared to be re born, and if so it needs galvanising, and the key to that is unity.

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Replying to Tudor Rees Cancel

Why? I think too many of our Welsh politicians have been seduced to become part of the South East Ehgland orientated establishment. e.g. George Thomas [read Martin Shipton book] and in an earlier era David Lloyd George and countless other...

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