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Opinion

The Death Throes of Labour

By Mark Mansfield
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer with Wales' First Minister Eluned Morgan (left) and Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens (right) on a visit to RAF Valley on Ynys Môn. Photo Paul Currie/PA Wire

Ben Wildsmith

Keir Starmer’s government was always going to be dreadful. Having dismantled the party’s progressive programme, leaving a threadbare manifesto that shrugged, ‘Hey, we can’t be any worse than Sunak!’ nobody was expecting a transformational administration.

All people were really hoping for was competence. After the chaos of the last 10 years, a solid managerial effort looked, to many people, like blessed relief from the self-indulgent batshittery of Tory rule in the aftermath of Brexit and the pandemic.

Maybe we could all just, you know, take a breath and be normal for a bit…

Well, no, as it turns out, we can’t. Just shy of a year into his tenure, Starmer is facing open revolt from his parliamentary party and catastrophic approval ratings from the public.

None of that is unusual, except in the context of Labour’s large majority which was swelled by Reform UK’s evisceration of the Tory vote. Even so, governments the world over are dealing with fractious internal politics and electorates that feel the system is letting them down.

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Flaky handling

The stand-out feature of this administration is its flaky handling of these common problems. From winter fuel payments, to changes in the PIP criteria, to dealings with Donald Trump, and the ongoing nightmare in Gaza, Starmer’s government has consistently backed down in the face of adversity.

The swagger of the government’s first days in office belied the shallow nature of its support.

Forgetting that Nigel Farage had effectively destroyed the Conservatives for him, Starmer’s initial attitude was a continuance of his party management in opposition. Troublesome lefties were immediately cast out of the party when they objected to its support of the two-child benefit cap.

John McDonnell, who has forgotten more about Labour politics than Starmer will ever learn, remains exiled to this day, tweeting wise advice from outside the fold.

Now, however, as the new intake finds a little confidence, and older hands see the sure signs of a doomed leadership, objections to austerity have Starmer running scared. U-turns over the winter fuel payment and PIP regulations have exposed a frailty at the top which is as alarming as it is contemptible.

In a cost-of-living crisis that seems never to abate, taking income away from people is a serious business.

Regardless of Starmer’s mantra to have ‘changed’ the Labour Party, the public expect its priorities to lie with less advantaged folks than are faithfully served by the Tories. So, when the Treasury, under Labour, is briefing that urgent benefit cuts are required if the nation is to remain solvent, people assume that the matter must be critical.

It is no good, however, spooking the public that the bailiffs are about to arrive at Buckingham Palace, and then relenting at the first whiff of parliamentary discontent. We have every right to accuse the government of misleading us over its benefit policies.

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Political choices

Measures that were presented as unavoidable to prevent disaster, have been revealed as the voluntary political choices of a government that considers a wealth tax to be beyond the pale, whilst accepting the Tory dogma that we are a nation of scroungers.

Whilst pleading poverty, the government has doubled defence expenditure and promised Ukraine £3 billion per year ad infinitum. This latter commitment was originally linked to ‘favourable’ status regarding access to Ukraine’s supposed treasure trove of rare earth elements.

The week after this was agreed, however, Donald Trump announced that access to these resources was a stipulation of continued US involvement in Ukraine. If Starmer has mentioned it again, I missed it.

Whilst dancing to Thatcher’s tune and then capitulating if threatened, the government has reserved its resolve for soft targets. Pop singers are hauled before the courts; protestors are not merely criminalised but branded as ‘terrorists’ in an act of political overreach that would shame General Pinochet. Anybody who can be performatively bullied for the benefit of potential Reform UK voters is fair game. Starmer has become beholden to everyone, and beloved of no one.

Ignored

At the Welsh Labour conference, to which Nation.Cymru was unwelcome, the prime minister was scheduled for a 40-minute speech and reportedly left 5 minutes early without speaking to any members of the Welsh press. The plaintive cries of Labour MSs for devolution of the Crown Estate are ignored by a UK party that appears to have written them off.

Economic forecasts remain dire, division in the nation worsens by the week, and public confidence in government is at an unprecedented nadir.

When Labour’s vote collapses at the Senedd election next year, you can point not only to the party’s disloyalty and callousness in Westminster, but also to its blundering incompetence. Mistaking conformism for prudence is why dull politicians can be dangerous creatures.

For all Keir Starmer’s horn-rimmed earnestness, he has allowed his government to be tossed around on the seas of public opinion and international pressure. His supposedly safe hands have dithered Labour into its death throes.

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18 comments

Chris Hale

Spot on analysis, highlighting the void at the heart of Labour. Starmer’s obsession with sucking up to Donald Trump will of course end badly, he has never delivered on any “deal” he has made.

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Nia James

Fine piece Ben! Regardless of its ideological make up, this UK Government is remarkably shallow in talent and it certainly lacks a coherent strategy. Starmer is a lawyer who is flirting with politics. He's the wrong person for our precarious time. Sadly, for Cymru, Starmer and his wan Cabinet will bumble along, flipping and flopping, and providing sporadic crumbs for our nation - small pockets of cash that will be cheered by the supine Jo and the increasingly irrelevant Eluned. Tough times ahead!

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John Ellis

'When Labour’s vote collapses at the Senedd election next year, you can point not only to the party’s disloyalty and callousness in Westminster, but also to its blundering incompetence.' Fair enough assessment, maybe, as we survey governance in the UK during the course of the last twelve months. But suppose that a significant number of voters in Wales react to Labour's demonstrable deficiencies at the UK-wide level by backing Farage in the Senedd next spring? What would be worse for us?!

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TheWoodForTheTrees

It seems when it comes to political choices the bar is getting lower and lower!

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John Ellis

I'll be 80 in a couple of months, so my memory reaches back to the 1950s. And, though it's a generalization, it certainly seems to me that the overall quality of politicians now is way less than was the case then.

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Amir

I was disappointed and continue to be disappointed that Labour refused to impose a wealth tax from the outset. They would rather continue the tories policy of austerity and benefit curtailing rather than a wealth tax and a system of helping people with needs to become gainfully employed with support measures where needed.

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Karl

Starmer haa pulled Labour into Reform arena. Legitimised their lies by that. Offers no hope or imagination of say a new Labour. So feels no different to Sunak, except in not the same English accent. And this creepy Nato nonsense and waated money, trying to force a world war onto us while people struggle, shows failure on the basics.

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Amir

It takes a lot to help people back into work. Usually the super fit and always healthy individuals are lacking in empathy towards those less able. Employers need to be able to allow reasonable adjustments, breaks and understanding which is lacking with this type of attitude.

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J Jones

'Help people back into work'! You'll find that many of the 1,000 per day signing on to PIP have decided they have no intention to ever work again - que those secret videos of people on PIP leading various forms of leisurely yet active lifestyles. The high proportion of young applicants is the reason Starmer has decided to stop the floodgates opening before they're blown off their hinges. The saddest part of this is the genuine cases that are being punished by the belief of so many that work avoidance is now a career choice.

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Tucker

Congratulations on believing the hype over PIP. Included in thise figures are people who are alrwady eligible for it but are reapllying to continue theor claim. Which you have to do regardless of your disability or ilnes every 2 uears. I'm a recent applicant who is in his 50s worked in heavy industries all my adult life and suffer from severe emphysema/COPD. Most probably caused by the work I did. I only just qualify for PIP according to the capita assessment and would fall into the group that would have had my PIP stopped. Even though on bad days I struggle to breathe and can't walk very far. I've paid tax and NI all my working life and this callous government wants to take away that benefit. My son who is autistic and needs me as his carer 24 hours a day. He will probably loose his benefits as he turns 16 due to the changes. I just hope that one day you have to go through the indignity of a PIP claim.

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In reply to Tucker

John Davies

Agree entirely. But also, there is something few people are saying. But it deserves to be heard in this debate. Namely, after forty years of a very successful state-backed employers' offensive, the dismantling of trade union protections, a long working hours culture, bullying management, difficult and poor-quality housing, rapacious landlords, horrible work commutes, pollution and crumbling public services, large sections of the population are exhausted and sick. It is hardly surprising the disability bill is rising.

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Welshman28

Brilliant piece of writing, for most of us it seemed Starmer didn’t want to be there. It’s clear Starmer has absolutely no time for Welsh Labour and the records show you why. Many Welsh Labour MP’s of the old rank have no time for Wales regardless of what they say, their record tells why -look at Doughty , Kinnock and Stevens twofaced politicians who would vote for a sheep to look after their careers if that sheep was PM. Starmers speech was that important at the conference it was NOT shown live on any network in UK except you tube . BBC only shown 2 points later.

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John Davies

Good article. Thank you. One important reason why ministers did not pay attention to the growing disquiet about the welfare bill and other issues is that the Labour party is over-managed. It is hard for disquiet or dissent to be expressed. Control over in-party discussion is tight. Any local constituency party that tries to express disagreement with the leadership risks being disciplined by the permanent and unaccountable staff in the general secretary’s office or the regional offices. They may even rule certain topics “out of order” for discussion. With party democracy strangled, of course the leadership never hears anything they do not want to. The leadership can then proceed in the happy illusion that they head a loyal and contented party, whereas in fact the party they head has been gagged. Instinctive authoritarians all, they would love to treat the population at large like they treat their own members. Proscribing an anti-genocide protest group as "terrorists"? Outrageous. Disgusting. Disgraceful. But in that context, a ‘new direct action group’ calling itself ‘Yvette Cooper’ takes up the struggle against genocide Will she proscribe herself? Good to see that spirit of disrespect and irreverence is abroad once again. This, as much as their own incompetence and malice, is likely to do these idiots in government in. If everything they do is greeted with gales of contemptuous mirth, can they remain in charge?

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Tucker

Does Corbyn live rent free in every one of your centerist's heads? He hasn't been leader for 5 years. Starmer is your leader and is more right wing than Blair was. He also appointed Mandleson as US ambassador after his friendship with Epstien. Imagine if anyone else had done that. The outrage would be constant. But not one of your centerists even battered an eyelid. When support for isreal turning off water and electricity to Gaza was supported by your leader. Did you support that too? Where was your outrage when Streeting took money from private health care lobbies? Or a third of the cabinet on the isreali payroll? Or Reeves refusing to tax american tech and instead hitting small and medium business with NI hikes.

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J Jones

Starmer isn't my leader and I didn't vote for him, I just pointed out that many in Labour literally hate him and Blair more than Johnson and Truss. Very strange! As with Germany in the 1930s, centrist has been replaced by extremist, depending on which party is in power and how quickly they get pulled to their extremes from what they put across to the whole country when they were elected.

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Tucker

Nope he purged most of the party members who stood up to him. Even Jewish members he accused of antisemitism.

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Y Cymro

UK Labour have cornered the market when it comes to hypocritical patronising self-serving obnoxious career politicians.

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Mab Meirion

I said some time ago that Clark as the leader of a Nation State (supposedly) was totally compromised and should have recused himself from having any say in the UK's involvement in the Middle East instead we have been reduced to cheer leaders in the crimes against humanity of Benjamin Netanyahu...

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Agree entirely. But also, there is something few people are saying. But it deserves to be heard in this debate. Namely, after forty years of a very successful state-backed employers' offensive, the dismantling of trade union protections, a...

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