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Opinion

The myth that the UK's governing elite know best has been blown out of the water by this pandemic

By NationCymru
Dominic Cummings gives evidence to the House of Commons' health committee

Ifan Morgan Jones

Wow. If nothing else, Dominic Cummings didn’t hold back during his more than five hours (so far) of testimony to the House of Commons’ Health committee.

Now, Dominic Cummings isn’t exactly the most reliable narrator. For all his apparent contrition this was, ultimately, testimony that presented him as a lone and overruled voice of reason at the centre of a catastrophically incompetent government.

But the evidence he gave ultimately tallies with much of what we know of Downing Street’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic – just that things were in reality much, much more shambolic.

The sense of complacency in the run-up to the first lockdown is well documented, and perhaps semi-excusable.

OK, pretty much everyone down to my local Eisteddfod had come to the conclusion that restrictions needed to be in place by around 12 March. Boris Johnson did not impose lockdown until 23 March, over a week later.

But shutting down an entire country is a difficult decision, and best avoided if you can. One could at least sympathise with someone in that position.

But the most shocking revelation of all was that the Prime Minister’s complacency continued after the first lockdown and that by the summer the general view in the UK Government was that the pandemic was essentially over.

This was a “terrible mistake” according to Dominic Cummings. Worse than that, it reveals that those running the UK Government are idiots. Actual idiots.

This isn’t hindsight talking – it was obvious to anyone paying attention to the scientific evidence in the summer of 2020 that the pandemic would be back with a vengeance – including me.

If I and most other casual political observers could spot this, why is it that people at the heart of the UK Government – with direct access to the greatest scientific minds in the country – could not?

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Chilling

Prime Minister Boris Johnson in particular comes out of Dominic Cummings’ testimony remarkably badly. Apparently, he was not invited to early key early meetings because he could not be relied upon to take the pandemic seriously.

Once lockdown was in place he is described as “changing his mind ten times a day, calling up the media and contradicting his own policy day after day after day”.

Furthermore, the Prime Minister’s lockdown scepticism continued even after the first lockdown - a lockdown he regretted in hindsight.

There goes the idea that Boris Johnson’s ‘bumbling fool’ persona is all an act and that he is in reality super-intelligent.

128,000 people have died in the United Kingdom from coronavirus, and one has to question whether most of them needed to.

But the chilling thing is of course that this is not an inquiry looking back in hindsight at mistakes made in the past. This is an ongoing pandemic and the same people remain in charge.

With new variants of Covid spreading quickly and the Prime Minister promising “irreversible” unlocking in June, do we really, really trust them not to make all the same mistakes again?

‘Dysfunctional’

Today was a bad day for British exceptionalism - the idea that there are an elite group of people at the heart of power in the UK that simply know better than everyone else.

This is the delusion on which the entirety of the UK’s political system has been built. The central argument for the UK’s over-centralised state is that there exists at the centre of it a level of knowlege and competence that just doesn’t exist elsewhere.

And that whatever kind of job the Welsh, Scottish and Northern Ireland government do it will be inherently inferior.

This had already been undermined by the Welsh and Scottish governments' more prudent handling of the pandemic. But in reality, it looks like this was a very low bar to cross.

But now we find now that not only did this Westminster elite not know best, they were collectively incompetent. Most governments, and most people, could have, in their position, done a better job.

“The British state is set up almost by design to create a dysfunctional system,” Cummings said in his testimony.

And it very hard to disagree with him on that. So why do so many pretend otherwise?

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9 comments

Nigel A Robins

Excellent article. Nicely written. Thanks for posting.

Reply
CJPh

Whataboutism, needlessly partisan and baseless nonsense, Mr. Rhydderch-Roberts. Mr. Morgan Jones states, right at the very beginning of the article, that Dominic Cummings isn't exactly unaccustomed with the concept of self-preserving obfuscation. Yes, many nations in the EU dealt with this unprecedented situation more poorly than others did, some nations dealt with the pandemic very well. That isn't the subject of this hearing, or this article. I'd like the same scrutiny of the Labour led Welsh government too - for a small, largely rural nation with 1 land border we sure had a high death rate. Far be it for any of us, with so much still unknown, to fully laud or condemn any institution based solely on an epidemiological or virological basis; that'll come in time. But words from the horse's mouth itself, directly pertaining to the performance and methodology of an institution? C'mon, mun. It's quite obvious that is the nature of both the testimony and this article. Diolch Ifan, another valuable opinion piece that adds to our national dialogue.

Reply
Quornby

It has but only for those who were previously blind to this reality

Reply
Hannergylch

Covid-19 was/is not some kind of static event, and nowhere does the author suggest it was. However, its dynamics were predictable from previous outbreaks. For instance, the difference between the 2014 Ebola and earlier Ebola outbreaks affords us a striking analogy for the difference between SARS and Covid-19. Earlier Ebola outbreaks limited themselves by quickly killing most of their victims, whereas the 2014 Ebola was slower to kill and hence more able to spread — a lesson that will not have been lost on public health official & academics who reviewed SARS during 2014–20. Given these predictable dynamics, the UK government's response was incompetent. An early warning of their incompetence came when we learned that they had totally misunderstood the concept of herd immunity. I'm pretty sure the UK Chief Medical Officer does understand actual herd immunity, and the best explanation I can suggest for his bizarre utterances in March 2020 would be that he had to be emollient with some very difficult people. No prizes for guessing whom I'm thinking of here. The talk of “herd immunity” must have come from people who don't understand what a mutation is, or how natural selection works. Covid-19 arose by a random copying-error in some earlier virus, probably in 2019, just as SARS did a few years earlier. Quite by chance, the 2019 mutation (i) enhanced the virus's ability to invade &/or replicate in human cells (probably via an increase in affinity for human ACE-2), and (ii) ocurred in a virus particle that got inhaled by a human, and that's how the pandemic started. So, it should be obvious that if you let the virus replicate in more humans, you are creating opportunities for more mutations, and strong selective pressure for those mutations that help the virus to evade natural or vaccine-induced immunity. Complacency about Covid-19 in the summer of 2020 looks like it was predicated on the belief that the virus had somehow become less infectious while circulating in millions of people in the preceding weeks. The folly of such a belief will be obvious to most readers: if you're not sure, re-read my previous paragraph and you'll be able to work it out. So what was the UK government thinking of?— some kind of accelerated evolution towards non-virulence? Beats me.

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Mandi A

I have never understood, Chris Whitty is supposed to be expert in highly infectious diseases. He was the great star of the London School of Tropical Medicine and UK lead on Ebola, got £40m out of Bill Gates to study malaria. I always have a feeling that one day he is going to be outed as not being quite who he claims to be.

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Steve Duggan

They pretend otherwise because the UK's had years if not centuries of practise.Believing what is basically crap, that the upper class know best. Time for this fooshness to stop and here in Cymru we can make it stop.

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Bruce

This was in the Guardian yesterday, reporting on Prime Ministers Questions:"Johnson refuses to deny claim he said Covid was 'only killing 80-year-olds' when he resisted second lockdownStarmer says there is a pattern of behaviour here: lack of planning, poor decision-making and a lack of planning. He says it is alleged Johnson said Covid was only killing 80-year-olds when he resisted the second lockdown. Did the PM use those words, or words to that effect? He says not having a lockdown last autumn was one of the government’s biggest errors. Johnson says this will be a matter for the inquiry. There was a circuit breaker in Wales." Yes there was a circuit breaker in Wales - a decision taken by our devolved government in Caerdydd and not by Westminster. Is Boris Johnson trying to claim credit for a decision that wasn't his? I seem to recall that at the time the government in Westminster was highly critical of the Welsh Government for making this decision, as was the right-wing English nationalist press.

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Mr Mark Rhydderch-Roberts

Yes thank God we have the Welsh governing elite to lift us out of poverty and dismal low aspiration - er.....I've just noticed we are the poorest country in Western Europe with the lowest social mobility.

Reply
Mab Meirion

Are you any relation to Ann Rhydderch by chance?

Reply

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