Reform has seven-point lead in poll for Wales-wide Senedd election

Makes for sad reading🫣 If those fascists were to form a govt. or be the largest party, i would seriously consider moving to Scotland or Eire, if they would have me. The thought of frog face lauding it over his fiefdom would be too much for my stomach to take. Labour should do the decent thing and stand down for progressives to take control of the Senedd

If Reform win then that is the most damning indictment of Labour's 25 year tenure and devolution itself. Horrendous that they are anywhere near winning.

Nye will be turning in his grave. A terrible indictment of our political naivity.

If the English Nationalist Party Reform win it will be a damning indictment of Cymru full stop...

Who knew we had so many anti Welsh living amongst us?

Lol....only the labour stooges at deryn consulting (now cavendish) would put out a poll showing Labour ahead of plaid.....strange how everyone else's polls shows nothing of the kind. Indeed polling for the upcoming caerphilly by-election has Labour at just 12%.

There is something not right with these polls. Even allowing for sample size, regional variations, margins of error, etc there surely can’t be an 8-10 point difference between Plaid and Labour support comparing Beaufort and YouGov? Someone is way off the mark.

There are plenty within the Labour Party who actually want Reform to do well. This is evident in the run-up to the Caerphilly by-election by falsely claiming that a vote for 'Plaid is a vote for Reform' and that 'only Labour can stop Reform'. Were Reform to actually form a government in Wales, Labour would be able to demonstrate to the rest of the UK how bad they are at governance. Look at what is happening in Kent. Moreover it would potentially damage the independence movement, as any campaign for further devolution would be seen as 'empowering the far right', by the Labour Party.

The Caerphilly by-election result on Thursday will give us a much better idea of where the parties stand at the moment. This poll might prove to be pretty accurate or it could be exposed as a load of old cobblers!! We'll just have to wait and see.

If Reform become the largest party in the Senedd, the nominally left-of-centre parties shouldn’t immediately do a deal to lock Reform out of power. Instead, they should let Reform try to form a minority government, no matter how unviable, and then vote them down at every opportunity.

One should not dismiss opinion polls simply because they do not favour one’s preferred party. When properly conducted, polls can offer a reasonably reliable indication of public sentiment. However, Beaufort’s surveys sample only around 500 respondents across Wales—roughly half the size of most national polls—and tend to overstate support for Labour. More established pollsters, such as YouGov, present a markedly different picture.

Most Welsh people are not anti-Zionist or into global solidarity cultural Left stuff, and I am sorry to say that Welsh Nationalists will have to learn that the hard way, possible by losing our Senedd if they don't listen. I hope not.

Opposition parties voting down Reform If they don’t support or like what Reform proposes? It’s called politics. To quote a certain council leader, “Suck it up”!

Is it democratic for a party to govern a country with just 30% of the vote, without any scrutiny?

There's a lot of naive voters in Wales if this poll is to be believed. Reform UK have no Welsh policies, wish to devolve further powers to our parliament, or even leader in Wales. That's the contempt shown towards our democracy. But I do look forward to seeing Nigel Farage scrutinised leading up to the Senedd election. Only then will voters see this man and party for what he and they really are. A fly by night egotist full of anti-Welsh English imperialists who have zero interest in Wales other than using the Senedd as a stepping stone to Westminster. And I can confidently predict Reform UK will eventually disappear into obscurity as seen with both UKip and Brexit Party have. And voters will see how foolish they were when promises made by Farage are broken and Reform MSs , if elected , will either be sacked for misconduct, resign or sit as independents. A good example. Just look East to England where Reform councillors are causing mayhem. If you care about your communities and country would not selfharm. Hasn't Brexit taught us anything? There's an old saying. "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me." Don't be fooled again Wales.

So a Pyrrhic victory awaits Reform After all that saturation bombing with Turquoise candy floss Reform resigned to be just a pack snapping dogs as its business as usual for Plaid/Labour You can almost taste the bile and vitriol

It's sad and frightening that a Nazi orientated party like Reform are topping the voting polls. Don't people remember what happened in Germany which led to WW2.

Is this the same Cavendish Consulting that says 72% of Reform voters in Wales support renewables?

The Green Party and Plaid Cymru should form an electoral alliance for the coming 2026 Senedd election. With the election of Zack Polanski to the federal green Party leadership, and the Green Party acceptance to work towards an independent Wales, Scotland and England. This is an opportunity that must not be lost as the combined alliance could ensure that Wales will get the result the people need for self determination. And, as a nation would not have a government alongside Welsh Labour with Starmer having the last word.